LLMs vs Real World Models? AI future trends
LLMs have transformed how we interact with AI, but can they truly understand and operate in the real world? This article explores the next frontier of artificial intelligence, the convergence of language models and real world models, systems designed to capture causality, constraints, and real dynamics. The future of AI will not be a choice between words and reality, but their integration into hybrid agents that are more reliable, useful, and ready to act.
OP-EDS
Stefano da Empoli, Co-Founder Techno Polis
2/9/20264 min read
Large language models (LLMs) have become the public face of artificial intelligence: they write, summarize, translate, tutor, and increasingly act as assistants that can take actions in software. At the same time, many researchers and companies are building “real world models”—systems that try to represent, predict, and act within the physical or operational world, not just generate text. The next phase of AI will be shaped by the interaction between these two approaches: LLMs, which excel at language and general-purpose reasoning over symbols, and real world models, which aim to capture cause-and-effect, constraints, and dynamics of environments such as homes, hospitals, factories, financial markets, and cities.
LLMs are best understood as powerful pattern learners over sequences. Trained on vast corpora of text (and increasingly images, audio, and code), they learn statistical regularities that let them produce fluent outputs and surprisingly effective problem-solving steps. Their strengths follow naturally from this training: they are flexible, they generalize across domains, and they can interface with humans through language—the most universal user interface. This is why LLMs rapidly became useful in customer support, education, programming, marketing, and research workflows.
But LLMs also have characteristic limitations. They can “hallucinate,” generating confident statements that are not grounded in verifiable facts. They struggle with long-horizon consistency, precise numerical reasoning, and tasks that require robust memory of a changing world. Most importantly, a language model does not automatically possess a faithful model of physics, institutions, or hidden causal mechanisms simply because it has read about them. The world described in text is only a shadow of the world as it behaves. This gap becomes critical as we ask AI not just to talk about actions, but to take them.
That is where “real world models” enter. The term can refer to several related ideas: world models used in reinforcement learning, digital twins used in engineering, simulation-based models in robotics, causal models used in decision science, and multimodal models trained on sensor data and interaction logs. What unites them is a focus on grounded prediction and control: given a state of the world, what happens next, and what interventions achieve a goal under constraints? A robot that must grasp a cup, a warehouse system that must route packages, or a clinical decision tool that must minimize risk all require more than plausible language. They require calibrated uncertainty, continuous feedback, and respect for physical and institutional rules.
Real world models are often narrower than LLMs but deeper in their domain. A digital twin of a factory line may incorporate physics, machine specs, maintenance histories, and process constraints, enabling optimization that an LLM alone cannot reliably perform. A self-driving system uses representations of the environment, prediction of agents’ motion, and planning under safety constraints—capabilities that rely on real-time perception and control. In finance, risk models and simulation frameworks track exposures and stress scenarios; in energy, grid models capture load, generation, and network constraints. These systems have long existed, but AI is changing them by improving perception, parameter estimation, and policy learning from data.
However, the most important future trend is not “LLMs versus” real world models, but their convergence into hybrid systems. LLMs will increasingly become the reasoning and communication layer on top of grounded models and tools. In such a system, the LLM can interpret user intent (“reduce energy costs without hurting comfort”), translate it into structured objectives, call domain simulators or optimization engines, and explain the resulting plan in clear language. The real world model provides the truth-maintaining backbone: it checks feasibility, estimates outcomes, and flags uncertainty. The LLM provides flexibility: it negotiates trade-offs, handles ambiguous requests, and coordinates multi-step workflows.
This hybrid approach addresses a major weakness of pure language generation: grounding. When an AI can query a database, run a simulation, consult sensors, or retrieve updated policies, it becomes less reliant on memorized patterns and more capable of verification. Tool use—retrieval, calculation, code execution, and API calls—already makes modern assistants more reliable. The next step is tighter coupling with world models that can represent state over time and learn from feedback. Think of an AI home assistant that doesn’t just suggest “turn down the thermostat,” but forecasts indoor temperature, energy price changes, and occupant comfort, then implements a plan while monitoring results.
Another key trend is the rise of agents that operate over long horizons. Today’s LLM applications often behave like single-turn tools. Future systems will behave more like managers of ongoing processes: they will set goals, decompose tasks, schedule actions, monitor progress, and adapt. Real world modeling is essential here because long-horizon agents must maintain a stable representation of what has happened and what is likely to happen. In robotics and operations, this means state estimation and control; in enterprise settings, it means tracking project state, inventory, customers, and constraints across time. LLMs supply planning and coordination, but real world models supply persistence and accountability.
Data will shape how this plays out. LLMs thrive on broad internet-scale data, whereas real world models require domain-specific, high-quality, often proprietary datasets: sensor streams, event logs, maintenance records, clinical outcomes, or supply chain histories. This shifts power toward organizations that can collect and govern such data. It also increases the importance of privacy and security. If AI systems are to model the real world, they must access real world signals—raising questions about consent, data minimization, and the risk of surveillance. Future AI regulation and product design will likely emphasize auditing, access control, and on-device or federated approaches that keep sensitive data local.
Compute trends will also matter. Training giant LLMs is expensive, but so is running large simulations and real-time control. We will see specialization: smaller, efficient models fine-tuned for particular tasks; multimodal models that integrate vision, audio, and sensor data; and edge deployment for low latency and privacy. In many real world settings—cars, drones, medical devices—latency and reliability are non-negotiable, pushing intelligence closer to the device. Meanwhile, cloud-scale models will remain valuable for deep analysis, large-context reasoning, and coordination across systems.
Safety and trust will be the decisive battleground. LLMs raise familiar issues: misinformation, bias, prompt injection, and brittle reasoning. Real world models raise another set: physical harm, systemic risk, and feedback loops. An AI that controls a warehouse robot or recommends medical dosing requires rigorous validation, uncertainty estimation, and fail-safes. Hybrid systems must be designed so that the language layer cannot override safety constraints; instead, the world model and rule-based guardrails should act as governors. Expect more formal verification for high-stakes control, more monitoring and logging, and clearer liability frameworks.
In short, LLMs and real world models represent two complementary pathways toward more capable AI. LLMs offer generality, natural interaction, and rapid transfer across domains. Real world models offer grounding, causal structure, and dependable control. The future trend is their integration into agentic systems that can talk, reason, and act—while remaining tethered to reality through sensors, simulations, and verifiable tools. As these hybrids mature, the central question will not be whether AI can sound intelligent, but whether it can be reliably useful in the messy, constrained, high-stakes environments where the real world always has the final word.
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